Southampton vs Brighton Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 22nd February 2025
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The Seagulls are highly favoured to claim a win against Southampton, whom they face on Saturday. In their current shape, a win at St. Mary's Stadium seems to be the obvious outcome.
Sitting bottom of the table, The Saints have claimed nine points after 25 rounds, while Brighton have amassed 37 points. This places the latter as number 10 in the Premier League at the moment.
With 5 defeats from their last 6 matches, the situation at Southampton could probably be a lot better. They need to improve their game or prepare for more disappointment as they face Brighton at home.
Southampton have a hard time getting on the scoreboard these days, as they managed a poorly eight goals in their previous ten matches. That is an average of 0.8 goals per game, in which they conceded 26 goals, or 2.6 goals per game. Furthermore, they fought their way to one clean sheets in this run.
Brighton managed a bearable 13 goals from their past ten games, creating an average of 1.3 goals per game. They conceded 16 goals in total, and while claiming three clean sheets, they conceded 1.6 goals an average per game.
It finished all square on when Southampton last faced Brighton. With both denying to back down, the scoreboard said 1-1 in the end. The best betting odds on a draw at full-time with the bookies are at 3/1.
Southampton vs Brighton Prediction
Southampton Form
Southampton have been a bit bleak in their last three matches, although it opened with a 1-2 victory against Ipswich. Unable to follow that up, they went down 0-1 against Burnley, before handing over another win to Bournemouth in a 1-3 defeat. Southampton are without a win in their last six Premier League matches on home soil, which produced a record of zero draws and six defeats, in which they conceded 22 and scored three goals.
Brighton Form
Brighton won twice in their last three matches, but began by losing 7-0 against Nottingham Forest, before beating Chelsea 2-1. Another win followed, this time by 3-0 against Chelsea. Brighton won twice, while also recording three draws, and one defeat in their last six away matches in the Premier League. The scoreline from these matches says 13 goals conceded and ten scored.
Form is currently close to disastrous for The Saints, and siding with Brighton is a no-brainer, as it looks like a question of attempting to minimize the defeat for hosts.
Brighton won two of their previous seven outings against teams from the bottom six and claimed 11 points. They scored 11 and conceded eight goals. Southampton have a record of two wins, three draws and 20 defeats in the Premier League this season. Brighton have a record of nine wins, ten draws and six defeats in the Premier League.
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Southampton vs Brighton Stats
- Southampton have lost 7 of the last 8 home matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- Southampton have lost the last 5 home matches in a row in the Premier League while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In the last 6 Southampton matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 7 of the last 8 Southampton matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Southampton have lost 5 of the last 6 home matches in the Premier League and the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In 8 of the last 10 Brighton away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 7 of the last 9 Brighton away matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 6 of the last 8 Brighton away matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- Brighton have won 5 of the last 7 matches while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- In 5 of the last 7 Brighton away matches in the Premier League, the sum of goals was over 3.5
Southampton vs Brighton Squads
Southampton Squad
Juric will select the starting XI for the upcoming match against Brighton from the following players (the statistics in the brackets represent goals scored and matches played in the Premier League this season):
Aaron Ramsdale (0/17), Alex McCarthy (0/5), Joe Lumley (0/3), Armel Bella-Kotchap (0/0), Charlie Taylor (0/7), Jack Stephens (0/11), James Bree (0/12), Jan Bednarek (2/21), Joachim Kayi Sanda (0/0), Juan Larios (0/0), Kyle Walker-Peters (0/23), Nathan Wood (0/9), Taylor Harwood-Bellis (1/23), Welington (0/0), Yukinari Sugawara (1/22), Adam Lallana (0/13), Albert Groenbaek (0/0), Flynn Downes (1/18), Joe Aribo (3/24), Lesley Ugochukwu (0/15), Mateus Fernandes (1/23), Ryan Fraser (0/8), Ryan Manning (0/14), William Smallbone (0/9), Cameron Archer (2/22), Kamaldeen Sulemana (1/13), Paul Onuachu (2/15), Ross Stewart (0/0), Tyler Dibling (2/21).
Brighton Squad
Here is the full team squad of Brighton. The 31 year-old Fabian Hurzeler will select his starting lineup from the following players:
Bart Verbruggen (0/23), Carl Rushworth (0/0), Jason Steele (0/2), Thomas McGill (0/0), Adam Webster (0/7), Eiran Cashin (0/0), Igor (0/12), Jan Paul van Hecke (0/23), Joel Veltman (0/19), Lewis Dunk (0/19), Pervis Estupinan (0/18), Tariq Lamptey (2/11), Carlos Baleba (2/21), Diego Gomez (0/3), Ferdi Kadioglu (1/6), Jack Hinshelwood (1/13), James Milner (0/3), Kaoru Mitoma (6/25), Mats Wieffer (1/13), Matthew O'Riley (1/12), Solly March (0/0), Yasin Ayari (0/21), Adrian Mazilu (0/0), Brajan Gruda (0/11), Danny Welbeck (6/19), Georginio Rutter (4/24), Joao Pedro (5/19), Simon Adingra (2/17), Yankuba Minteh (5/20).
Southampton vs Brighton Team News
Brighton have just one player unavailable for selection, when visiting Southampton at St. Mary's Stadium.
Solly March won't be travelling with Brighton this time, as he nurses an injury.
Southampton vs Brighton Lineups
Southampton vs Brighton H2H
Betting on the draw would have earned you a sound profit the last time The Saints played Brighton. The pair finished even in a 1-1 match, where no one managed to get the upper hand. Southampton go into their upcoming match against Brighton with a 30% winning record in recent meetings. This gives them a 3-4-3 record in the latest encounters with their next opponent. A record worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Southampton vs Brighton Results
Of the last ten encounters between Southampton Brighton over 2.5 goals came out five times. Odds on over 2.5 goals are at 8/13 with bookies.
Southampton vs Brighton Betting Tips
With two goals in six matches Paul Onuachu has been a regular feature on the scoresheet in recent matches, making him a tempting betting prospect, when going up against Brighton and their defence. The visitors hope Kaoru Mitoma adds another to his current tally of three goals in his latest matches.
Southampton won one of their last 10 home matches across all tournaments, while losing nine times. Brighton won four of their last 10 games away from home, with three draws and three defeats as well. Both teams have been quite terrible at keeping their opponents at bay in recent matches. While Southampton managed to keep a clean sheet in one of the games at St. Mary's Stadium, Brighton kept their opponent from scoring in two of their last 10 away games.
Southampton managed an average of 1.3 goals in the past ten encounters against Brighton, who scored 1.4 goals on average. Over 2.5 goals happened five times, while both teams scored eight times. Over 2.5 goals came out eight times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Southampton, who scored an average of 1.1 goals along the way. Of the last ten games for Brighton, six had more than 2.5 goals, while they managed to score an average of 1.7 times goals per game.